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Are BTC and ETH Near Breakdown or Rebound? Bitcoin Tests 50W SMA as Ethereum Eyes Upside

Are BTC and ETH Near Breakdown or Rebound? Bitcoin Tests 50W SMA as Ethereum Eyes Upside

2025-11-07

Bitcoin price is sitting at an important area as it tests its 50-week simple moving average near $102,000.  This level has supported past market cycles. When it failed in earlier years, the market slipped into deeper declines.

Right now, Bitcoin price trades close to $101,500, down about -2.4% in the past day. Even so, it’s still down -5.8% over the week. 

Market Cap




Daily trading volume is near $61.7Bn, showing steady participation despite the pullback.

Traders are watching this zone closely. A clean bounce could calm the market and a drop below it could hint at more weakness ahead.

The long-term chart signals caution. Each time Bitcoin has slipped below its 50-week simple moving average (50W SMA), the market has suffered heavy losses.

Analyst Ali Martinez pointed to several examples. The market dropped about 50% in 2011, 67% in 2014, 60% in 2018, and 66% in late 2021. 

Even during the 2020 COVID shock, Bitcoin fell roughly 55% after losing this level.

With that history in mind, a clear break below $102,000 could open the way to the $40,000 area. Many traders now see that zone as a critical support for Bitcoin’s broader market structure.

Analyst Lennaert Snyder also marked $102,000 as important short-term support. 

He said the four-hour chart still shows an upward trend, but warned that bulls need to take back $107,100 to keep that momentum intact.

DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025

Ethereum Price Prediction: Could ETH Be Preparing for a New Upside Phase?

Ethereum was trading near $3,305 at press time, down -2.9% over the past day.

Market Cap




A weekly chart shared by the analyst shows the asset holding an important technical zone after its recent pullback. 

Price bounced close to the 50-week moving average and the 0.618 Fibonacci level near $3,130, an area viewed as solid mid-cycle support.

The chart also shows Ethereum moving inside a long-term ascending wedge, a structure that has guided its trend since 2020.

The chart indicates that the market may have finished its corrective Phase 2 and could be preparing for a broader move higher. 

The next major hurdle sits near $4,865, which marks the previous cycle peak. The analyst sees this level as a practical upside target.

If price continues to push higher, the move would line up with a broader wave extension. In that case, the 1.618 Fibonacci level near $8,800 comes into view as the next major upside zone.

A steady rise in support levels and a clear upward trendline back the optimistic view. 

But if Ethereum slips below $3,130, it could fall toward deeper support around $2,800. For now, momentum looks steady, even with recent swings.

DISCOVER: Top 20 Crypto to Buy in 2025

Why Did Bitmine Immersion Technologies Purchase Over 40,000 ETH?

On-chain analytics firm Lookonchain says large investors were active during the latest market dip. 

Data shows eight major wallets bought a combined 394,682 ETH, valued at roughly $1.37 billion, over the past three days.

Their average entry price was about $3,462. Lookonchain pointed to one buyer linked to Aave as the biggest participant. 

This wallet picked up 257,543 ETH, worth around $896 million, making it the most aggressive accumulator during the pullback.

The second-largest buyer was Bitmine Immersion Technologies, known as Ethereum’s biggest corporate holder. The company added 40,719 ETH, worth close to $139.6 million.

OnChain Lens data shows Bitmine first bought 20,205 ETH from Coinbase and FalconX. It later received another 20,514 ETH from FalconX.

Data from Santiment suggests short-term traders are under pressure. Those active over the past 30 days are sitting on average unrealized losses of about 12.8%.

Longer-term traders are also slightly in the red. Santiment noted that wallets active within the past year now show an average return of –0.3%.

EXPLORE: Seeking a Career Change? Become a Bitcoin Bounty Hunter in Fordow, Iran

The post Are BTC and ETH Near Breakdown or Rebound? Bitcoin Tests 50W SMA as Ethereum Eyes Upside appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

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