• Trump’s “tariff dividend” scheme, worth $2,000 with a value of over $400 billion, focuses on increasing spending.
• Court approval appears unlikely, with only a 23% chance on Kalshi and 21% on Polymarket.
• Tariff revenues target $37 trillion debt,  with tax cuts easing the living costs.

The crypto market rallied sharply after President Donald Trump unveiled a massive $2,000 “tariff dividend” for Americans. The measure, valued at over $400 billion, will distribute direct payments funded by U.S. tariff revenues, sending shockwaves through financial and digital asset markets worldwide.

Trump confirmed the plan on Truth Social, saying: “A dividend of at least $2000 a person, not including high-income people, will be paid to everyone.” Trump’s statement was considered a significant populist policy measure to immediately alleviate economic suffering due to escalating inflation.

Trump Challenges Court On Tariff Authority

The U.S. Supreme Court is now weighing arguments on the legal grounds for Trump’s proposed tariffs. Prediction market data shows limited confidence in approval. Kalshi traders estimate only a 23% chance of court approval, while Polymarket participants set odds slightly lower at 21%.

Trump expressed doubts about the Court’s stance by asserting that Congress grants the president constitutional authority to suspend all trade with foreign nations for reasons related to national security. He asked how imposing a “simple tariff” on such grounds could have legal hurdles when prior expansive presidential authority had been sustained.

The dividend is considered a short-term economic stimulus by both investors and analysts. They believe that liquidity will enter both cryptocurrency markets and traditional markets. Several market strategists have warned that these types of economic stimuli can increase inflation and disrupt fiscal balances.

Also Read | 146 Billion Shiba Inu (SHIB) Back on Exchanges as Traders Eye Short-Term Profits

Tariff Revenues Aimed at $37 Trillion Debt

As reported by WuBlockchain, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent revealed that instead of Trump’s proposed “tariff dividend,” economic relief might instead come in the form of tax cuts in Trump’s latest economic policy bill.

Trump previously claimed the U.S. is collecting “trillions of dollars” in tariffs, emphasizing his intention to use those revenues to help repay the nation’s $37 trillion debt. 

However, economists believe that even though this plan is likely to boost spending by consumers and enhance asset prices in the short term, it could exacerbate the fiscal deficit. Without offsetting spending reductions or additional revenue sources, the proposal could strain federal finances and destabilize future economic planning.

Also Read | Michael Selig Nominated to Lead CFTC in 2025: A New Era for Crypto Regulation?