CryptoQuant noted that wallets associated with key Bitcoin players added over 16,000 BTC in the last week. This buildup was during a downward-trending market, indicating that it was a potential buy-the-dip service. Smaller investors have been selling at losses, on the other hand, further indicating the increasing gap between the whales and retail traders.
Source: X
A similar situation was witnessed during the initial correction in early August, where large players started to intensify their positions while retail investors enforced their exits. Analysts speculate that this accumulation could signal the formation of a local bottom. There could be a bounce back in the next few hours, but the overall remaining picture will be dependent on the health of on-chain fundamentals in the days to come.
Bitcoin recently reached a new milestone as its price rallied to its all-time high of $123,000 in August, a period against most predictions for its performance. Since then, the momentum has tapered off.
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However, the recent shock occurred when BlackRock, a securities corporation, transferred over 10,584 BTC, valued at approximately $1.19 billion at current prices, to Coinbase in a single day. This massive transaction swiftly destabilized the market and sparked concerns about potential mass selling.
Source: Arkham
Such transfers into exchanges are generally interpreted as sell signals, and the fact that BlackRock has done so has intensified the worry. Consequently, the price of Bitcoin has declined to the point of about $112,000, which is a major support point.
This level has served as the launching pad in the past rally that took Bitcoin to its all-time high. Investors are now keeping a keen eye as to whether it will be resilient once again.
The technical indicators are favorable in terms of being mixed. The relative strength index returned to the oversold house of 32.93, which implies that the occurrence of the bearish sentiment may be exhausted. Meanwhile, MACD is still giving weak signals as the line hovers below the signal line, indicating negative momentum and near-term caution.
Source: TradingView
If Bitcoin maintains its ground above $112,000, it might experience a subsequent boost, but we should anticipate temporary drawdowns below this level. Further selling by funds like BlackRock, though, has the potential to strengthen downward pressure and simply add to losses.
September is likely to have a decisive influence on the market situation. The Federal Reserve is due to meet on September 15-16, with expectations of a 0.25% rate cut now standing at 81 percent in the market. Although this percentage might prove to be favorable to risk assets such as Bitcoin, September has consistently been a poor month when it comes to Bitcoin or U.S. equities.
Source: Coinglass
Historical data indicate that the S&P 500 has declined by 1% on average in September over the last 35 years, and the same tendency was repeated with Bitcoin in numerous instances. Increased pressure on the macroeconomic environment and background actions aimed at causing confusion will lead to heightened volatility.
Also Read: Bitcoin Forms New Support Zone, Strengthening Case for $135K Run