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Cardano Price Eyes $1 as Long-Term Holders Drive Bullish Momentum

Cardano Price Eyes $1 as Long-Term Holders Drive Bullish Momentum

2025-08-13

cardano

  • Long-term Cardano holders continue steady accumulation with low selling pressure.
  • Technical indicators point to a possible breakout toward $1.015 or $1.15.
  • The August outlook remains bullish if ADA sustains momentum above key resistance.

On-chain data reveals that Cardano’s long-term investors have continued to accumulate positions since 2021 without significant distribution. This consistent accumulation reveals a persistent belief in the project and a willingness to hold out for bigger moves in the price.

image 427
Source: Alphractal

Short-term players, who were likely to sell on previous rallies, are behaving differently this time. Instead of selling, they have shown tiny accumulation over the past few days. Low selling pressure has been a distinguishable deviation from the 2021 pattern, suggesting more range-bound market behavior.

image 427 2
Source: Alphractal

Valuation and risk metrics also indicate a balanced market condition. The market temperature indicator of the blend of MVRV Z-Score, Realized Value to Transaction ratio, and Net Unrealized Profit/Loss signals a neutral area.

image 428
Source: Alphractal

High levels would indicate an overheated market, and low levels would indicate undervaluation. Current levels do not indicate euphoria and provide some room for healthy appreciation.

Also Read: Cardano Price Prediction 2025: ADA Surges on Plomin Hard Fork and ETF Speculation

Cardano Targets $1.15 Amid Strength in MACD and RSI

Cardano is currently at $0.8117 and has risen by 13% in the last week. The coin has recently come back from the area of support at $0.70, which coincides with the level of Fibonacci retracement 0.236 at $0.704. This level of support proved to be a good accumulation area in the past.

Active resistance resides at $0.884, close to the upper Bollinger Band and a former rejection area. A move through this level may set the stage toward $1.015, corresponding to the 0.618 Fibonacci level, and possibly $1.15, corresponding to the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level.

Bollinger Bands are compressing around the upper boundary, suggesting accumulating bull momentum but also suggesting short-term correction if overbought situations appear. The Relative Strength Index is at 54.58 and appears to have some more room before hitting the overbought level.

ADAUSD 2025 08 12 08 47 20 1
Source: Tradingview

The MACD line lies above the signal line, and positive histogram bars are an indication of continued upward momentum. Chaikin Oscillator at 10.45M indicates stronger buying pressure versus recent weeks.

ADA Targets $0.95–$1.015 by Late August Amid Strong Setup

As long as ADA holds up above $0.81 and breaks through $0.884 with good volume, a surge back toward $1.015 and potentially $1.15 may develop in the next few weeks. But a drop back below $0.70 would likely flip momentum back to $0.51 and eliminate the recent bull structure.

ADA’s end-of-August target price has been approximated, ranging from $0.95 to $1.015 under current situations, provided the bull setup prevails. The elevated adjusted Sharpe Ratio, which means the degree of risk-adjusted outcomes, gives credibility to the prospects of further upward momentum.

Cardano’s market currently reflects a blend of strong holder conviction and favorable technical positioning, setting the stage for a potential continuation of gains in the near term.

Also Read: Why Cardano’s (ADA) Price Could Skyrocket 260%: Expert Analysis and Targets

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