1. Hedera Hashgraph (HBAR) remains in a corrective phase, trading near $0.146 with bearish momentum dominating.
2. A potential “Altseason” could push HBAR toward 65 cents, representing a 350% market cap-based gain.
3. Key support at $0.14–0.15 will determine whether the downtrend continues or a bullish structure emerges.

Hedera Hashgraph (HBAR) has been consolidating after losing the bullish momentum seen earlier in 2025. The weekly chart highlights a clear corrective pattern, with lower highs forming since the mid-year peak.

Current price action places Hedera near $0.146, slightly below the 9-period DEMA, signaling that short-term trend strength is weakening and traders are approaching the market with caution. Candlestick activity in recent weeks has shown reduced volatility, often a precursor to a larger directional move.

Analysts note that the broader market environment, coupled with inflation concerns, has shifted attention from price charts to market cap metrics.

Inca Trading tweeted that using the HBAR/market cap chart suggests a potential 350% increase to reach the 4.236 Fibonacci extension. Translating this to price, HBAR could target around 65 cents if an “Altseason” emerges during this cycle.

Bearish Momentum Dominates Hedera Technicals

Technicals reflect a conservative market atmosphere. Relative Strength Index (14) is currently 38.88, just above the oversold level and depicting strong bearish momentum.

Towards the end of 2025, Hedera consistently failed to drive the RSI above 50 levels, proving the bulls will never regain control. This is an indication that the market is still grappling with past selling and is not ready for a strong recovery.

The MACD (12, 26, 9) is still bearish. This is because both the MACD and the signal lines remain below zero, with a histogram displaying a diminishing series of red bars. To start a bullish movement, a crossover with an increasingly positive histogram would be required, which has not happened so far.

Key Support Levels Could Shape HBAR’s Next Move

HBAR is currently targeting a significant historical support level of $0.14-$0.15, which is a previous level of both resistance and support. A failure here may trigger a further potential re-test of the level of $0.11, but a holding here and an indication of a potential change in momentum may trigger a fresh bullish shape formation.

For the moment, the outlook is tentatively cautious/bearish, with market players most likely holding back until stronger signals appear. Through a combination of technological consolidation trends, market-cap potential, and macroeconomic fundamentals, the next few weeks will be critical in determining the future direction of HBAR.

Also Read: Hedera Hashgraph Price Rally Begins as HBAR Clears Key Resistance Level