• September has historically been Bitcoin’s weakest month, but patterns suggest potential bullish setups.
• Bitcoin is testing the $105,000–$110,000 support zone, crucial for the next major move.
• A confirmed bounce could push Bitcoin toward $135,000–$140,000, while a breakdown risks revisiting $73,000–$75,000.

Bitcoin enters September under historical pressure. The past 13 years show an average return of a negative 3.47% in this month, making it the worst on the calendar.

August often closes green, followed by September turning red. This trend repeats more prominently in post-halving years. In 2025, August finished red, adding to market uncertainty.

Merlijn The Trader highlights the recurring question: will September live up to its bearish reputation, or could it become the launchpad for BTC’s next surge?

Another perspective comes from Mags, who suggests a “buy in September, sell in November” approach. Data shows October and November as BTC’s most bullish months historically, hinting that any dips in September might set up profitable opportunities in the final quarter.

Also Read: Bitcoin Whale Buys $163 Million BTC as Market Eyes $115,000 Target

Bitcoin Technical Setup: Rejections and Retests

Chart structures reveal that BTC’s price repeats a predictable pattern. Rejections at resistance levels are usually followed by retests and then breakouts.

This pattern has repeated a few times since early 2023. Current action confirms this: Bitcoin was resisted at roughly $120,000 and retraced back to the fundamental $105,000-$110,000 area.

Merlijn’s charting shows these retests are important. Broken and confirmed previously resistant levels caused parabolic moves.

The setup is hinting at the idea that if BTC can maintain the $105,000-$110,000 level of support, the path toward new highs is still intact. Not doing so could spark deeper corrections.

Bullish vs. Bearish Scenarios

If Bitcoin confirms support at nearly $105,000, it can proceed higher. Predictions are of a potential breakout up to $135,000–$140,000.

This is using repeated history: rejection, test, then rapid breakout. This level is being very closely monitored by traders to predict the classic move before prices skyrocket.

Conversely, a break below $105,000 would reverse sentiment. Next decent support is at $73,000-$75,000 and has been a strong risk for bulls. Drops below $100,000 can relax the technical picture and suspend the parabolic move.

Investors are taking a short-term view of prices. Bitcoin’s reaction toward the $105,000–$110,000 support will determine whether September is remembered as a curse or the month that started the next higher leg.

Also Read: Bitcoin Faces Selling Pressure but Bullish Setup Targets $123,000 Rebound