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Coinbase Opens Event-Based Prediction Trading to Customers Across the U.S.

Coinbase Opens Event-Based Prediction Trading to Customers Across the U.S.

2026-01-29

  • Coinbase expands prediction markets to all US states giving users nationwide access inside one regulated app.
  • Users trade simple yes or no event contracts with USD or USDC through Kalshi under full US regulation.
  • Regulated prediction markets gain momentum as Coinbase integrates event trading alongside crypto services.

Coinbase has expanded its prediction markets feature to users across all 50 U.S. states. The rollout gives nationwide access to event-based trading inside the Coinbase app. 

The company confirmed the expansion on Jan. 28 after a limited December launch. As a result, all eligible U.S. customers can now access the feature. The move places prediction markets directly alongside existing crypto and cash services.

Nationwide Rollout Under U.S. Oversight

The feature operates through a partnership with Kalshi, a federally regulated prediction market platform. Through this integration, users can trade simple yes-or-no contracts tied to real-world events. These events include sports outcomes, political developments, entertainment milestones, and major economic decisions. Market prices adjust based on supply and demand dynamics. Therefore, prices reflect how participants collectively assess the probability of each outcome.

The nationwide rollout keeps trading activity within a U.S.-regulated framework. This structure differentiates the feature from offshore or decentralized prediction markets. Consequently, users gain access to event-based trading without leaving a compliant environment. Coinbase has positioned the feature inside its main app interface. This design allows users to manage crypto assets and prediction trades in one place.

Simple Contracts and Low Entry Thresholds

Users can place trades using U.S. dollars or USD Coin. The platform allows low minimum trade sizes. This structure lowers the barrier for participation across a broad user base. At launch, Kalshi provides all contracts and liquidity. However, Coinbase has stated plans to support additional providers over time. This approach suggests future expansion of available markets.

The contracts follow a straightforward structure. Each market resolves with a clear yes-or-no outcome. This simplicity reduces complexity compared to traditional derivatives. As a result, users can engage without advanced trading tools. The feature also aligns with demand for transparent event-based products.

Prediction Markets Gain Mainstream Exposure

Prediction markets have gained momentum across the United States. Demand has grown for tools that aggregate crowd-based forecasts on major events. Regulated platforms have benefited from this shift. They offer an alternative to unregulated venues that face legal uncertainty. Consequently, partnerships with established financial platforms have increased.

Kalshi has faced legal challenges in some states related to sports contracts. Despite this, the platform has continued expanding partnerships. The Coinbase integration reflects growing confidence in regulated prediction markets. It also signals gradual acceptance within mainstream financial applications.

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