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Litecoin ($LTC) Price Outlook: Is the Next Rally Coming After the 80% Drop

Litecoin ($LTC) Price Outlook: Is the Next Rally Coming After the 80% Drop

2025-12-01

Litecoin

  1. Litecoin remains in a long-term sideways consolidation, showing indecisive momentum.
  2. Historical retracements have preceded massive LTC rallies, suggesting potential future upside.
  3. Short-term charts indicate one more potential dip before a sustained move higher.

Litecoin ($LTC) continues to trade in a multi-year horizontal range, a pattern that has dominated since mid-2021. The monthly chart shows repeated interactions with the equilibrium zone, indicating that LTC behaves more like a mean-reverting asset rather than following a clear trend.

The most recent monthly candle reflected a sharp rejection from the upper range, pushing the price down to around $84, an 11% drop. This indicates that sellers regained control near resistance, while the compressed EMA 20/50/100/200 levels reinforce the market’s indecisive nature.

Source: Tradingview

Momentum indicators show similar neutrality. The RSI (14) sits near 47, suggesting neither oversold nor overbought conditions, with a slight downward slope implying mild bearish pressure.

MACD readings show flattened histogram bars and near-zero crossovers, confirming volatility compression and limited trend strength. While long-term structure remains neutral, short-term momentum tilts slightly bearish, signaling a period of consolidation rather than a breakdown.

Litecoin Historical Patterns Suggest Future Upside

Historical cycles illustrate that for Litecoin, ‘crashes result in massive gains.’ In 2013, for example, the price crashed from $55 to $0.98, a decline of 98%, to shoot up by 37,000%.

In 2018, the price descended from $370 to $23, only to surge a whopping 1,700%. Presently, in 2025, the price is acting in a similar manner, plummeting from $413 to $84, making waves about a possible upturn to the $600–$1,000 target of this cycle.

Source: X

Although there is a sideways price movement, the lower range of price shows that there is accumulation support, but failure to break through previous supply levels demonstrates that there is strong resistance from long-term holders. LTC has failed to demonstrate the push required to initiate a strong uptrend.

Short-Term Outlook: One More Low Likely

Traders analyzing the A-B-C pullback for Litecoin believe that the crypto may experience another drop before even attempting to break through. At the moment, market movements appear to be a wave 4 correction, and the area of resistance can be seen between $90.29 and $97.33.

Source: X

Once it crosses above this region, a shift towards a positive trend may happen, but until then, the most probable course of events is a dip. Traders and investors can keep these levels in mind, or look for potential buy points within the range of these boundaries, or simply wait for a breakout to be certain of the trend.

Also Read: Litecoin (LTC) Gains Slightly, Yet Charts Imply Final Pullback Before $97

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