The head of digital assets at BlackRock, Robbie Mitchnick, believes that most of the big investors have stopped seeing the value of Bitcoin as a short-term object of daily payments.
He opined the clients are not selecting Bitcoin because of its prospective contribution in the world of payment systems. Instead, they emphasize its worth as a long-term store of value.
Mitchnick has said such remarks through a podcast on Friday. He declared that the payment-use case remains an option but is located a long way away of the core investment thesis. He termed it as out-of-the-money option value. To put it simply, investors consider it as a distant bonus, rather than a primary purchase motivation.
He also emphasized that Bitcoin would require significant improvements until it could sustain a significant amount of activity in terms of payment movements. He identified scaling problems and the necessity of superior tools like the Lightning Network. In the absence of the above, Bitcoin will not be able to match quick and inexpensive payment systems that are available nowadays.
His opinion is consistent with a report by Galaxy Research in August 2024. That report cautioned that a significant number of the Bitcoin layer-2 networks might not run long. It identified rollups as an option that was popular but potentially unsustainable. The purpose of rollups was to allow BTC to reduce the cost of handling more transactions, though the report indicated it might not be as effective in the long-run.
BTC is confronted with technical obstacles, although stablecoins are on the rise. Stablecoins became known as hugely successful payments by Mitchnick. According to him, they provide a clear product-market fit as they involve the movement of money at a rapid pace with minimum friction. He thinks that stablecoins are capable of becoming much bigger than crypto trading and decentralized finance.
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Instead, he said that soon it will be possible to use stablecoins to send and receive retail remittances, cross-border corporate transfers, and even settle a financial market. Their stability and user-friendliness are a great advantage in these aspects. Even there, Mitchnick mentioned that Bitcoin had potential to compete in retail remittances, although even that is yet unclear. It might be so, he said, but a mere speculation.
This change has affected market projections. Cathie Wood, the CEO of ARK Invest, recently dropped her 2030 price prognosis of BTC. She replied that stablecoins are growing at a rate more than she predicted. Due to this, they are taking up certain roles that she considered BTC would overtake it.
By 2030, Wood had forecasted that Bitcoin would hit $1.5 million. It might be better to cut approximately three hundred thousand dollars now, she says. She pointed out that stablecoins are already good sources of payment in new markets, which are quick and secure. She also observed an increasing level of interest in other rail payment systems among the U.S. institutions.
The emergence of stablecoins has become an industry trend. In September, Tether co-founder Reeve Collins said that every currency can be a stablecoin by 2030. He foresees world finance going on-chain as the world’s technology gets transformed.
In spite of these trends, institutional investors can still discern the core use of BTC. The majority of them still consider it as digital gold. They appreciate it because of its rarity, longevity, and the appreciation it offers in the long term. BTC’s future is not ruled out but requires significant technological advancement. In the meantime, the place that BTC was trying to compete with is being occupied by stablecoins.
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